It all depends which Jets offense shows up. That unit has been a real Jeckyl and Hyde group. One second, they are awful and the next they are a pinball machine bouncing up and down the field with ease. The good news is that they rarely start well and the first quarter has been awful for them.
More good news is that Sanchez still makes bad throws. Unlike last year, these throws aren't costing them because defenders aren't picking off these passes as they did last year. Though since mid-October, he has been turning the ball over much more. In the last six games, he has 8 TDs vs. 8 INTs. For a team like the Pats who are second in the league in INTs, it is a good thing.
I think the Pats will stop or at least slow down the run. Tomlinson is old again and slowing losing carries. He has had over 4 YPC, more than 60 yards in a game, and only two total TDs since Minnesota in early October although he has been very effective at times in the passing game. Shonn Greene hasn't been any better (those playoff games last year look like a fluke) and isn't much a threat in the passing game.
I would put McCourty on Holmes. The Pats have to start considering having McCourty shadowing the best WR all game (Megatron was shutdown by him on Thursday, but looked like the player he is when he lined up against Arrington).
I don't know if pressuring Sanchez is the best idea. Many of his worst throws are when he has time to throw. The guy feels he has to make the play and will force balls to receivers. So it might be better to blanket his receivers and force Sanchez to make plays where there might not be any. That may mean extra people in coverage.
