Brady6 Offseason Plan 1.0

Brady6 said:

You probably noticed the Clausen signing and Mallett missing from the signed player list, that is based on Mallett being traded to the Texans for the #33 pick (or Vikings for #40).

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The UFA signings have cap hits listed below them; I can give you the details on the terms, guaranteed money and signing bonuses if you are curious.

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ctpatsfan77 said:

I'd like to see how you got Gostkowski's hit that low.

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ctpatsfan77 said:

I would sooner have another UDFA like Hoyer than spend money on Clausen at this point.

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I'd like to see how you got Gostkowski's hit that low.

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Brady6 said:

I am looking for some honest feedback on my offseason plan, take a look, and let me know what you think.

Restructure/Extend
- Vince Wilfork
- Devin McCourty
- Stephen Gostkowski

Release
- Tommy Kelly
- Adrian Wilson
- Dan Connolly
- Steven Gregory
- Isaac Sopoaga

UFAs
Alex Mack-
- 2014-4,500,000
- 2015-5,250,000
- 2016-5,750,000
- 2017-7,250,000
- 2018-8,250,000
- Total-31,000,000
Aqib Talib-
- 2014-$5,000,000
- 2015-$7,750,000
- 2016-$9,750,000
- Total-$22,500,000
Julian Edelman-
- 2014-$2,575,000
- 2015-$3,575,000
- 2016-$4,575,000
- 2017-$5,575,000
- Total-$16,300,000
Michael Johnson-
- 2014-$3,750,000
- 2015-$7,875,000
- 2016-$9,875,000
- Total-$21,500,000
Riley Cooper-
- 2014-$1,875,000
- 2015-$2,575,000
- 2016-$2,925,000
- Total-$7,375,000
LeGarrette Blount-
- 2014-$1,250,000
- 2015-$1,750,000
- Total-$3,000,000
Jimmy Clausen-
- 2014-$765,000
- 2015-$870,000
- Total-$1,635,000
Dane Fletcher-
- 2014-$730,000
- Total-$1,150,335

After those signings, we will have these players under contract with a 2014 cap hit of –

Roster
- Tom Brady-$14,800,000
- Logan Mankins-$10,500,000
- Jerod Mayo-$7,287,500
- Vince Wilfork-$6,866,667
- Rob Gronkowski-$5,400,000
- Aqib Talib-$5,000,000
- Danny Amendola-$4,575,000
- Alex Mack-4,500,000
- Devin McCourty-$3,878,402
- Michael Johnson-$3,750,000
- Sebastian Vollmer-$3,750,000
- Kyle Arrington-$3,625,000
- Rob Ninkovich-$2,850,000
- Nate Solder-$2,717,429
- Julian Edelman-$2,575,000
- Stephen Gostkowski-$2,550,000
- Matt Slater-$2,266,668
- Chandler Jones-$2,229,136
- Donta Hightower-$2,106,546
- Riley Cooper-$1,875,000
- Tavon Wilson-$1,150,335
- LeGarrette Blount-$1,250,000
- Shane Vereen-$1,101,275
- Stevan Ridley-$939,750
- Jamie Collins-$854,773
- Aaron Dobson-$779,175
- Jimmy Clausen-$765,000
- Marcus Cannon-$743,968
- Dane Fletcher-$730,000
- Jake Bequette-$709,950
- Logan Ryan-$655,813
- Chris White-$645,000
- D.J. Williams-$645,000
- Duron Harmon-$633,900
- Josh Boyce-$614,250
- Nate Ebner-$594,150
- Alfonzo Dennard-$584,462
- Brandon Bolden-$574,582
- Sealver Siliga-$570,000
- Marcus Forston-$570,000
- James Develin-$570,000
- Michael Buchanan-$508,403
- Steve Beauharnais-$506,898
- Markus Zusevics-$495,000
- Mark Harrison-$494,000
- Kenbrell Thompkins-$494,166
- Ryan Allen-$494,500
- Justin Green-$495,000
- Armond Armstead-$495,000
- Josh Kline-$495,000
- Chris Jones-$495,000
- Brice Schwab-$495,000
- Chris Barker-$495,000
- Kanorris Davis-$495,000
- Joe Vellano-$495,000
- TJ Moe-$417,332
- Cory Grissom-$418,666
- Taylor Reed-$420,000
- Jonas Gray-$420,000
- Braxston Cave-$420,000
- Ja'Gared Davis-$420,000
- Jordan Devey-$420,000
- Reggie Dunn-$420,000
- R.J. Mattes-$420,000
- Sam McGuffie-$420,000
- Greg Orton-$420,000
- Top 51 Cap Hits-$113,756,698

(In addition to the top 51 cap hits, I have calculated $12,778,358 in dead money.)

You probably noticed the Clausen signing and Mallett missing from the signed player list, that is based on Mallett being traded to the Texans for the #33 pick (or Vikings for #40).

Draft Picks
- #29-Hasean Clinton-Dix, DB
- #33-Stephon Tuitt, DT/DT
- #62-Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE
- #93-Pierre Desir, DB
- #126-Anthony Steen, OG
- #TBD-Joe Don Duncan, TE
- #TBD-Jeff Janis, WR
- #182-Trey Burton, WR/TE
- #190-Zack Kerr, NT/DT
- #229-Dexter McDougle, DB
- UDFA-Chris Boyd, WR
- UDFA-Mike Pennel, DT/NT

The UFA signings have cap hits listed below them; I can give you the details on the terms, guaranteed money and signing bonuses if you are curious.

The dead money includes Aaron Hernandez, Dan Connolly, Isaac Sopoaga, Steve Gregory, Adrian Wilson, Ras-I Dowling, Tommy Kelly, Daniel Fells, Ryan Mallett, Lavelle Hawkins, Zach Sudfeld, Ben Bartholomew, Kanorris Davis, Chris McDonald, Josh Kline, Justin Francis, Brandon Jones, Brandon Ford, Stephon Morris, Matt Stankiewitch, Mike Zupanic, and Dewayne Cherrington.

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Christian said:

Um yeah....your scenario ain't gonna happen Brady6.

People really think ANYONE is going to give up the 33rd pick for Mallet?

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kennyb said:

Mack at 6M / year and Edelman at 4M / year. Seems kind of low.

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Brady6 said:

I agree, but if you remember last season teams did not divvy up for UFAs outside of a handful.

In addition, I did it based on what other players have received in recent years - $6.5M would give Mack the third highest APY of any center in the NFL. Edelman would be in the top 32 receivers for APY and his contract would align him with Lance Moore, Nate Washington, and Jordy Nelson who are all on their second contracts and are second and third tier offensive weapons.

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manxman2601 said:

I admire the work Brady6 but I absolutely hate the idea of going safety in the first. Sorry but that ruins it all for me. However, ASJ, Tuitt, Burton and Kerr have all been favourites of mine for a while so there is some redemption

Edit: I hope they don't cut Gregory and Kelly. Both are being largely underrated in these parts.

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BradyFTW! said:

My major concern with this offseason plan would be that it's setting the Patriots up to be in rough financial shape from 2016 onward. Realistically, they won't be able to afford to pay Michael Johnson and Alex Mack both $9.5-10M in 2016. This is especially true if they're restructuring Wilfork in a way that pushes guaranteed money for him into the future.

I'm also not as high on Michael Johnson as some others in the first place. He's had one very good year out of 5 in the NFL, and is coming off of a season-ending injury.

I also think Cooper and Edelman will both get more on the open market than you've allotting to them, but Cooper in particular would be a great deal if he can be had for your numbers. Big fan of your draft, as well, although I wouldn't be surprised to see ASJ end up going long before 62.

Having said all of that, I do like this plan as a rough outline for what the Patriots may be able to accomplish. I'd be pretty excited if that's the offseason that they came away with; the feeling that they overpaid for Johnson would be offset by feeling awfully good about what they were able to get Edelman, Cooper, and Blount for. Plus trading the #33 for Mallett would be a great deal in its own right.

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Brady6 said:

I am only guaranteeing the Johnson 2014 base, which is $1.5M and a $ 6.75M signing bonus, which is a total of $8.25M guaranteed.

In 2016, Mack has a cap hit of 5,750,000 in and Johnson would have a $9,875,000 hit. I project Wilfork and Mankins to either be gone or have much lower cap numbers, which is why I staggered the hits. I also aligned Johnsons contract to end when Chandler Jones would be projected to start making substantially more if we are unable to afford both of them.

I see a very deep WR draft and UFA market so I am not sure that players like Edelman and Cooper with just one year of production will be big ticket items. Cooper's contract would put him in the same APY as Jordy Nelson and Edelman would be in the top 32-35 of all NFL receivers in APY.

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manxman2601 said:

I admire the work Brady6 but I absolutely hate the idea of going safety in the first. Sorry but that ruins it all for me. However, ASJ, Tuitt, Burton and Kerr have all been favourites of mine for a while so there is some redemption

Edit: I hope they don't cut Gregory and Kelly. Both are being largely underrated in these parts.

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