At this point it wouldn't be hard to create a VR experience where these guys are tested on their ability to learn and adapt in game situations. That would be a lot more useful at the combine than the physical drills.
I see what you are saying, but don't think that's the primary issue here. This is bigger than out of sight management practices.
The Pats organization is mismanaging this, whether the stories are true or not. If they were competent with this, they would have anticipated the PR opportunity and...
We should set up a Bingo card for his favorite phrases. "Had a lot of production in college." "Played in a good program." "Great value for where he was picked."
If "bust" is defined as "expectations vs. performance" then I'd suggest Harrison. He's being projected as "generational" which puts him in the class of Rice, Moss, etc. I suspect he's just going to be a good NFL receiver, not a perennial all pro.
All the teams have different internal political dynamics that will determine how they end up valuing players.
And as an aside, you'd have to draft about 10 WR in the first round to come up with a Jefferson, statistically speaking.
https://theathletic.com/5416007/2024/04/16/nfl-drafting-methods-insight-massey-thaler/?access_token=2164005&redirected=1
A few excerpts relevant to our conversations here:
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Even Nobel Prize-winning scholars have spent decades mulling whether there is a single best way...
I wouldn't be disappointed with Penix, Rattler, one of the top WR's, and a solid left OT, then BPA for the rest.
I'd think that the odds of one of Penix and Rattler becoming a good NFL QB are at least as good as Daniels or Maye alone.
It isn't about "hating all these guys." From what I'm reading, the only one that's clearly worthy of being at top of the first round is Williams. The others don't measure up to that, so they are all high risk picks inside the first 10. Using #3 on one of them is over drafting out of need. But...
Interesting: Randy Mueller's top 10 players in the draft: A surprise pick at WR1 and more
Top 10 from this guy, who has impressive creds:
1. Williams
2. Alt
3. Odunze
4. Fuaga
5. Nabers
6. McCarthy
7. Daniels
8. Harrison
9. Latu
10. Bowers
Acknowledges that McCarthy and Daniels are over-valued...
What I've read in the past month would indicate he's one of three WR's in this draft that are roughly equal. None of them is the best player in the draft, nor generational. That's echo chamber magnification.
Yes. I think there are two distinct strategies for NFL teams. Orient toward a single season where everything comes together, but at the expense of future seasons. Or, orient towards sustained quality while knowing that you are less likely to buy 3-4 veterans on their last legs to add rocket fuel...
Tampa won a single title and now will wallo for a decade or more. Sacrifice everything for a single successful season. That's not the formula the Pats are going to follow.
In the old days, teams with neighboring picks would agree to make a pick for each other and then do the trade afterwards. So in your situation, the Pats pick the player AZ wants, and vice versa, then they trade the players and AZ throws in a draft pick to compensate for essentially swapping places.
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