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Not really. OP asked "Can we trust the scouts?" I'm just pointing out it's a lot harder to know the answer for sure because of how badly Belichick botched his development.Still lighting the Mac candles I see
Let's say they had signed Hopkins this year and kept Karras in 2022 so they could draft Tyler Smith instead of Strange. If all of that happened and Mac still sucked, then it'd be clear that the evaluations were wrong. On the other hand, Mac might have done a hell of a lot better (and Belichick might still be HC of the NEP).