Bobsyouruncle
Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract
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I did some looking at this last night for my own curiosity. In the SB era (1966) there have been 26 years without free agency, and 22 with free agency. IMO the question is not "is it harder to build a SB team" but is it harder to build multi-SB teams. That's sort of the point of free agency, and salary caps is to get parity. Salary cap was 94, and free agency was 93. I'm going to exclude the Cowboys from either category because their 3 wins in the 90's one was pre cap and FA, one was pre cap but during FA, and one was post cap and during FA so they don't fit in either category.I am going to be very clear here. The jury is not in. Period. It is still deliberating. The only proof we have if Dynasty's are harder post cap is if there are less dynasty's post cap. Right now we can not determine that for sure. We are still within a range that is not largely outside of past patterns. We are still averaging 1 dynasty per decade.
Now if there is no dynasty that emerges by the end of 2020 lets say. Now you have some very good evidence for it being harder to have a dynasty with the cap cause that would show a break in the pattern in the salary cap era. Until that happens though I don't think it is unfair to say we don't have enough evidence.
The sample size is simply too small right now IMO (though admitted not by too much).
Also Joes D was great. When Have I not said so? Lets look at is fairly.
1st SB run - Gave up 24, 27 & 21 points = 24 PPG
2nd SB run - Gave up 10. 0. 16 = 8.67 PPG
3rd run - Gave up 3. 9 & 16 = 9.3 PPG
4th run - Gave up 13, 3, & 10 = 8.67 PPG.
Obviously 3 of those runs had superb D. However this great D also let Joe down at times giving up 17. 36 and 49 points in Joes 3 one and dones. This goes to show that the D was very good it was not otherworldly for the whole run.
I don't like how you only picked 6 games. We should look at all 12 to be 100% fair.
Lets also be fair and acknowledge Joe rarely needed his D to play as well as they did in those runs generally. The 49ers never scored below 20 PPGs in any of those 12 playoffs victories. Even with a lesser D they could have still won 4 championships. Brady on the other hand needed his team to hold the opponent below 20 a couple times to win. Now in fairness that is a bit of a loaded statement cause those 2 game were bad weather games but it is interesting.
Pre FA (26 years)
4- Teams with 3 or more SB (PIT 4, SF 4, OAK 3, WAS 3)
8- Teams with multi SBs
The breakdown
2- Teams with 4SB
2- Teams with 3 SB
4- Teams with 2 SB
4- Teams with one SB
So 14 of the 26 years (54%) were won by dynasties (3 or more), that's over half. 22 of the 26 (86%) featured multi SB Teams, 14% single winners.
Post FA (22 years)
1- Teams with 3 or more SBs (NE 4)
6- teams with multi SBs
The breakdown
1- 4SB
0- 3SB
5- 2SB
6- 1SB
4 out of 22 years (18%) were won by a dynasty. 14 of 22 (63%) were multi SB winners, 27% single winners.
So side by side
Pre and Post
Dynasty
54% to 18%
Multi
85% to 63%
Single
14% to 27%
Not perfect but it looks to me like it's harder to win multi-SBs post FA, and MUCH harder to build a dynasty. 4 dynasties in 26 years, to now 1 in 22. Time will tell but I think what the Patriots did will stand out more through the years.
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