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If by "TOUGH out" you mean dropping 4/5 to whomever of TOR/MIL/PHI they face in the 2nd round, then you are correct.
I am thinking either Boston or Philly grabs the #3. That means the Celtics will either visit/host Indiana or host Brooklyn.
Those two teams are playing well right now, but in the playoffs when rotations are shortened...talent/adjustments take over as players see the same players 7 times in 11-12 days. Your bag of tricks is emptied after 3-4 games...and talent reigns supreme.
It will still take 7 to get out of the first round. Then I see us going to Toronto (preferably)/Milwaukee and trying our best to split the first two roadies.... I like our chances at doing so. This is about 50 days and 25 games from now. Playoffs don't even start until mid-April... A LOT of time left to get rolling again.
My ideal scenario is us at #3.....Philly #4/#5.
Boston over Brooklyn, Philly over Indiana, Bucks over Hornets/Magic/Etc.., Raptors over Detriot/Etc.
Round 2:
Philly @ Milwaukee - Embiid can slow down Giannis and make the Bucks win with Brodgan/Middleton/Bledsoe.
Boston @ Toronto - We will have to play a full game...Toronto is deep like we are. But coming down to it..who is the better closer?...Kawhi vs. Kyrie...I like our chances..gotta be 50/50 at least.
Round 3: Boston hosts Philly for a ticket to Oakland!