He's been reading my posts. To me it seems to be the most logical conclusion to guesstimate what Goodell will do based on the 2 previous cases.
The Bears and 49ers swapped 3rds (#70 for #75) for the Briggs case in 2008. The Lions and Chiefs swapped 5ths (#140 for #154) in 2011. Those are the only 2 cases where punishment has being given out with regards to tampering.
The Jets have no 5th or 6th Rd picks this year and our 7th is higher than theirs. A swap of 4ths (#104 for #131 with comp projections included) would in fact be a stiffer penalty than the 2 previous cases if you go by any draft value chart
http://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp
#70 (240 pts) for #75(215 pts)=25 pts
#140 (36 pts) for #154(29.8 pts)=6.2 pts
#104 (86 pts) for #131(41 pts)=
45 pts
A swap of firsts (#6 1600 pts for #32 590pts) would be astronomically higher (
1010 pts) then the 2 previous rulings. To call for a slap on the wrist and no compensation as Mehta would suggest would be nothing short of glaring hypocrisy. I've seen a swap of 3rds suggested (#70 215 pts for #96 116) which would be 99 pts and not outlandish and actually warranted considering how egregious this case has been.
A swap of 1sts or 2nds would just seem to far out of alignment with previous rulings. This has been my contention all along. I think the decision was already made some time ago but can't be released until after the comp picks are publicly released, which will probably be tomorrow.