Patsrock
2nd Team Getting Their First Start
- Joined
- Apr 12, 2006
- Messages
- 1,886
- Reaction score
- 584
Registered Members experience this forum ad and noise-free.
CLICK HERE to Register for a free account and login for a smoother ad-free experience. It's easy, and only takes a few moments.From what I have figured myself.
A win and your a least a wild card
Can still get in with a loss and
Oakland loss
Miami loss
Indy loss
and a Miami loss
Why work on such negative hypotheticals? If we lost that many games to finish the season, I wouldn't want to be in the playoffs. Talk about looking at the bottom.....
Does 13-3 lock up a bye yet? Or could the Jets still kick us to the wild card if the loss is to a division team?
Seems to me that the most important results going forward are the 4 division games left by the Pats and Jets.
13-3 probably gets us the Division title if our loss is to Packers or Bears on Strength of Victory but that is not certain.
So, it looks to me as though our strength of victory and the Jets strength of victory, if both teams end up 13-3 would be nearly identical given that we have 14 common opponents. The noncommon opponents are Houston and Denver for the Jets and Indy and SD for the Patriots. Right now, Houston and Denver are 8-16 combined, but are effectively 9-17 combined since they have to play each other. So, the most wins the Jets' noncommon opponents can get to is 15. Indy and SD are 12-12 combined and don't play each other. So, it looks to me as thought he magic number for the Patriots, in terms of clinching Strength of Victory is 3. Any combinations of 3 losses by either the Broncos or Texans (not counting in the game against each other) plus wins by SD and Indy will lock up SOV for the Patriots.
So, it really seems as if victories by the Patriots against the Fish and the Bills, plus at least one more win, will lock up HFA.
Jets won't beat the Steelers on the road and will be lucky to score a point.Or could the Jets still kick us to the wild card if the loss is to a division team?
So, it looks to me as though our strength of victory and the Jets strength of victory, if both teams end up 13-3 would be nearly identical given that we have 14 common opponents. The noncommon opponents are Houston and Denver for the Jets and Indy and SD for the Patriots. Right now, Houston and Denver are 8-16 combined, but are effectively 9-17 combined since they have to play each other. So, the most wins the Jets' noncommon opponents can get to is 15. Indy and SD are 12-12 combined and don't play each other. So, it looks to me as thought he magic number for the Patriots, in terms of clinching Strength of Victory is 3. Any combinations of 3 losses by either the Broncos or Texans (not counting in the game against each other) plus wins by SD and Indy will lock up SOV for the Patriots.
So, it really seems as if victories by the Patriots against the Fish and the Bills, plus at least one more win, will lock up HFA.
Actually it is a bit more complex than that....
If the Pats lose to Packer the relevant teams will be
Pats: Ravens 8-4; Colts 6-6; Chargers 6-6
Jets: Browns 5-7; Bengals 2-10; Texans 5-7
Actually, it's the Broncos at 3-9, for the Jets. The Pats beat the Bengals in Game 1. Otherwise, that covers it.
one adv the jets do have is that they have both remaining div games @home.
But all bets are off in Buffalo in January. Thankfully, they may have checked out by week 17.
Jets won't beat the Steelers on the road and will be lucky to score a point.